Prof. Dr. rer. nat. Peter Flaschel

Professor - i.R.

Universität
Universität Bielefeld
Fachbereich
Fakultät für Wirtschaftswissenschaften
Arbeitsbereiche
Volkswirtschaftstheorie
Forschungsbereiche
Disequilibrium Macrodynamics. Theory and Policy (Unemployment, Inflation and Growth)
Real-Financial Interaction on the Macro-Level
Nonlinear Macro- and Microdynamical Systems
High-Order (Integrated) Dynamic Economic Models
Structural Macroeconometric Model Building
Numerical and Empirical Analysis of Macrodynamic Systems
Land
Deutschland
Ort / PLZ
33501 Bielefeld
Strasse
Postfach 10 01 31
Telefon
0521-1065114
Sekretariat
0521-1066926
FAX
0521-1066416

Veröffentlichungen

A.1 Books (recent publications):

1. The Dynamics of Keynesian Monetary Growth: Macro Foundations (with C. Chiarella). Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press, 2000.

2. Disequilibrium, Growth and Labor Market Dynamics. Macro Perspectives (with C. Chiarella, G. Groh and W. Semmler). Heidelberg: Springer, 2000.

3. The SND Package: Applications to Keynesian Monetary Growth Dynamics (with C. Chiarella, A. Khomin and P. Zhu). Frankfurt/M.: Peter Lang, 2002.

4. Open Economy Macrodynamics. An Integrated Disequilibrium Approach (with T. Asada, C. Chiarella and R. Franke). Heidelberg: Springer, 2003.

5. Foundations for a Disequilibrium Theory of the Business Cycle. Qualitative Analysis and Quantitative Assessment (with C. Chiarella and R. Franke). Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press, 2005.

6. Quantitative and Empirical Analysis of Nonlinear Dynamic Macromodels (with C. Chiarella, R. Franke and W. Semmler). Contributions to Economic Analysis (Series Editors: B. Baltagi, E. Sadka and D. Wildasin). Amsterdam: Elsevier, 2006.

7. Keynesianische Makroökonomik. Unterbeschäftigung, Inflation und Wachstum (with G. Groh and C. Proano). Heidelberg: Springer, 2007 (second edition).

8. Mathematical Economics and the Dynamics of Capitalism (with M. Landesmann). London: Routledge, forthcoming.

9. Topics in Applied Macrodynamic Theory (with G. Groh, C. Proano and W. Semmler). In: S. Mittnik and W. Semmler (series eds.): Dynamic Modeling and Econometrics in Economics and Finance. Heidelberg: Springer, forthcoming.

10. Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy. A Keynesian Perspective (with C. Chiarella, R. Franke and W. Semmler). London: Routledge, forthcoming.


A.2 Books (in preparation):

1. Portfolio Choice, Asset Accumulation and Macroeconomic Activity. A Tobinian Stock-Flow Approach (with C. Chiarella, H. Hung, W. Semmler). Book manuscript, in preparation.

2. Lectures on Monetary Macrodynamics (with C. Chiarella, R. Franke and P. Skott). Book manuscript, in preparation.

3. Advances in Macroeconometric Model Building. Structure, Measurement and Simulation (with P. Chen, C. Chiarella and W. Semmler). Book manuscript, in preparation.

4. Value and Competition. Origins, Perspectives and Applications. Book manuscript, in preparation.

5. Economic Growth and Social Evolution from a Unifying Perspective. Book manuscript, in preparation.

6. Keynesian Macrodynamics. Old, New and Matured (with T. Asada, R. Franke and H. Yoshida). Book manuscript, in preparation.


B.1 Papers (recent publications):

1. Keynes-Marx and Keynes-Wicksell models of monetary growth. A framework for future analysis. Review of Political Economy, 12, 2000, 453 - 468.

2. ‘High order’ disequilibrium growth dynamics: Theoretical aspects and numerical features. (with C. Chiarella). Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 24, 2000, 935 - 963.

3. An old-Keynesian note on destabilizing price flexibility (with R. Franke). Review of Political Economy, 12, 2000, 273 - 283.

4. Disequilibrium growth theory with insider - outsider effects. Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, 11, 2000, 337 - 354.

5. Viability and corridor stability in Keynesian supply driven growth. Metroeconomica, 51, 2000, 26 - 48.

6. Efficiency wages in the analysis of cyclical growth. A comment. Metroeconomica, 51, 2000, 482 - 487.

7. Output, interest and the stock market. An alternative to the jump variable technique (with C. Chiarella, R. Franke and W. Semmler). Bulletin of the Czech Econometric Society, 13, 2001, 1 - 30.

8. Price flexibility and debt dynamics in a high order AS-AD model. (with C. Chiarella and W. Semmler). Central European Journal of Operations Research, 9, 2001, 119 - 146.

9. A Keynesian macroeconometric framework for the analysis of monetary policy rules (with G. Gong and W. Semmler). Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization, 25, 2001, 101 - 136.

10. A macroeconometric study on monetary policy rules: Germany and the EMU (with G. Gong and W. Semmler). Jahrbuch für Wirtschaftswissenschaften, 53, 2002, 21 - 27.

11. AS-AD, KMG growth and beyond. A reply to Velupillai (with C. Chiarella, G. Groh and W. Semmler). Journal of Economics, 78, 2003, 96-104.

12. Nonlinear Phillips curve, complex dynamics and monetary policy in a Keynesian macro model (with C. Chiarella, G. Gong and W. Semmler ). Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, 18, 2003, 613 - 634.

13. Monetary policy, currency unions and open economy macrodynamics (with T. Asada, G. Gong and W. Semmler). Bulletin of the Czech Econometric Society, 19, 2003, 1 - 37.

14. Currency and financial crises in emerging market economies in the medium-run (with C. Proano-Acosta, W. Semmler). The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, 2, 2005, 105 - 130.

15. Keynesian dynamics and the wage-price spiral. Analyzing and estimating a baseline disequilibrium model (with P. Chen, C. Chiarella and W. Semmler). The ICFAI Journal of Monetary Economics, 3, 2005, 6 - 49.

16. Keynesian dynamics and the wage-price spiral. Identifying downward rigidities (with P. Chen). Computational Economics, 25, 2005, 115 - 142.

17. Keynesian dynamics and the wage-price spiral: A baseline disequilibrium model (with T. Asada, P. Chen, C. Chiarella). Journal of Macroeconomics , 28, 2006, 90 -- 130.

18. Steindl models of growth and stagnation (with P. Skott). Metroeconomica, 57, 2006, 303 - 338.

19. Measuring the interaction of wage and price Phillips curves for the U.S. economy (with P. Chen). Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics and Econometrics, 2006.

20. Testing wage and price Phillips curves for the United States (with G. Kauermann, W. Semmler). Metroeconomica, forthcoming.

21. Wage and price Phillips curves: Some results for the U.S. economy (with P. Chen). Bulletin of the Czech Econometric Society, 22, 2005, 3 -- 38.

22. The feedback channels in macroeconomics. Analytical foundations for structural econometric model building (with P. Chen, C. Chiarella and W. Semmler). Central European Journal of Operations Research, 14, 2006, 261 - 288.

23. Wage-Price Dynamics and Income Distribution in a Semi-Structural Keynes-Goodwin Model (with R. Franke, C. Proano). Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, 17, 2006, 452 - 465.

24. Richard Murphey Goodwin (1993-1996). His legacy continued (with M. Landesmann). Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, 17, 2006, 379 - 381.

25. Interacting business fluctuations: The case of two large open economies (with C. Chiarella and H. Hung). Singapore Economic Review, 51, 2006, 1 - 30.

26. Long cycles in employment, inflation and real unit wage costs. Qualitative analysis and quantitative assessment (with G. Kauermann and T. Teuber). American Journal of Applied Sciences, forthcoming.

27. Some numerical explorations of the Keynes-Metzler-Goodwin monetary growth model (with C. Chiarella). Indian Economic Review, forthcoming.


B.2 Papers (submitted):

1. Keynesian disequilibrium dynamics: Estimated convergence, roads to instability and the emergence of complex business fluctuations (with P. Chen, C. Chiarella and H. Hung)

2. Hedging, speculation, and investment in balance-sheet triggered currency crises (with A. Röthig and W. Semmler).

3. A macrodynamic model of real-financial interaction: Implications of budget equations and capital accumulation (with C. Chiarella and W. Semmler).

4. Currency crises and monetary policy in economies with partial dollarization of liabilities (with C. Proano, W. Semmler).

5. Estimating loops and cycles using penalized splines (with G. Kauermann, T. Teuber).

6. Gradual Wage-price adjustments in Keynesian macrodynamics. Evidence from the U.S. and the Euro area (with C. Proano, E. Ernst, W. Semmler).

7. Period analysis, continuous time and chaos from an empirical perspective (with T. Asada, G. Groh, C. Proano).

8. Keynesian AD-AS. Quo vadis? (with T. Asada, C. Chiarella and C. Proano).

9. Expectations, monetary policy and the real wage feedback channel. Two competing baseline approaches ( with T. Asada and C. Proano).

10. A Structuralist Model of the Wage-Price Spiral with Non-Linear Demand Pressure Terms (with D. Tavani, L. Taylor and T. Teuber).

11. Causal analysis for multivariate time series data (with P. Chen, C. Hsiao, W. Semmler).


C. Papers in Edited Volumes (recent publications):

1. The emergence of complex dynamics in a ‘naturally’ nonlinear integrated Keynesian model of monetary growth (with C. Chiarella). In: W.A. Barnett, C. Chiarella, S. Keen, R. Marks and H. Schnabl (Eds.): Commerce, Complexity, and Evolution: Topics in Economics, Finance, Marketing, and Management. Proceedings of the Twelfth Symposium on Economic Theory and Econometrics. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2000, 111-145.

2. AS-AD disequilibrium dynamics and economic growth (with C. Chiarella, G. Groh and W. Semmler). In: E. Dockner, R. Hartl, M. Luptacik and G. Sorger (Eds.): Optimization, Dynamics and Economic Analysis: Essays in Honor of Gustav Feichtinger. Physica, 2000, 102 - 118.

3. The macrodynamics of debt deflation (with C. Chiarella and W. Semmler). In: R. Bellofiore and P. Ferri (Eds.): Financial Fragility and Financial Investment in the Capitalist Economy. The Economic Legacy of Hyman Minsky, Vol.II. Northhampton, MA: Edward Elgar, 2001, 133 - 184.

4. Disequilibrium growth in monetary economies: basic components and the KMG working model. In: L. Punzo (Ed.): Cycles, Growth and Structural Change. London: Routledge, 2001, 128 - 168.

5. Output, financial markets and growth. An extension of the Blanchard stock-market approach (with C. Chiarella, R. Franke and W. Semmler). In: R. Friedmann, L. Knüppel and H. Lütkepohl (Eds.): Econometric Studies. A. Festschrift in Honour of Joachim Frohn. Münster: LIT, 2001, 159 - 183.

6. From Growth and Employment Cycles to KMG Model Building (with T. Asada and M. Krüger). In: N. Fuhrmann, E. Schmoly and R.S. Singh Sud (Eds.): Gegen den Strich. Ökonomische Theorie und politische Regulierung. München: Rainer Hampp, 2003, 75 - 100.

7. Wage and price Phillips curves. Normal or adverse real wage adjustments? (with C. Chiarella and M. Stevenson). In: G. Hansen and C. Dreger (Eds.): Schriftenreihe des Instituts für Wirtschaftsforschung Halle. Baden-Baden: Nomos Verlagsgesellschaft, 2003, 79 - 116.

8. A Keynesian based econometric framework for studying monetary policy rules (with G. Gong and W. Semmler). In: R. Neck (Ed.): Modelling and Control of Economic Systems 2002. Proceedings of the IFAC Symposium on Modelling and Control of Economic Systems. Elsevier: 2003, 329 - 334.

9. A stochastic Blanchard model with a state-of-market dependent reaction coefficient (with C. Chiarella, W. Semmler and P. Zhu). In: R. Neck (Ed.): Modelling and Control of Economic Systems 2002. Proceedings of the IFAC Symposium on Modelling and Control of Economic Systems. Elsevier: 2003, 309 - 314.

10. Real-Financial Interaction. A reconsideration of the Blanchard model with state-of-market dependent reaction coefficient (with C. Chiarella and W. Semmler). In: W.A. Barnett, C. Deissenberg and G. Feichtinger (Eds.): Economic Complexity. Non-linear Dynamics, Multi-Agents Economies, and Learning. Amsterdam: Elsevier, 2004, 31 - 65.

11. Interacting two-country business fluctuations. Euroland and the USA (with T. Asada, C. Chiarella, R. Franke). Proceedings of the 4th Eurostat and DGECFIN Colloquium on Modern Tools for Business Cycle Analysis: Growth and Cycles in the Euro-Zone. Eurostat, Luxembourg: Monograph of Official Statistics, 2004/5.

12. Testing Downward Rigidity in Wage and Price Phillips Curves for the United States (with P. Chen). In: H. Galler and C. Dreger (Eds.): Advances in Macroeconometric Modeling. Papers and Proceedings of the 4rd IWH Workshop in Macroeconometrics. Baden-Baden: Nomos Verlagsgesellschaft, 2005, 77 - 107.

13. Monetary policy, the labor market and pegged exchange rates. A study of the German economy (with G. Gong and W. Semmler). In: W. Semmler (Ed.): Monetary Policy and Unemployment: The US, Euro-Area and Japan. London: Routledge, 2005.

14. New Keynesian Theory and the New Phillips Curves: A Competing Approach (with E. Schlicht). In: C. Chiarella, P. Flaschel, R. Franke and W. Semmler (Eds.): Quantitative and Empirical Analysis of Nonlinear Dynamic Macromodels. Contributions to Economic Analysis 277 (Series Editors: B. Baltagi, E. Sadka and D. Wildasin), Elsevier, Amsterdam, 2006, 113 -- 145.

15. Wage-Price Phillips Curves and Macroeconomic Stability: Basic Structural Form, Estimation and Analysis (with H-M. Krolzig). In: C. Chiarella, P. Flaschel, R. Franke and W. Semmler (Eds.): Quantitative and Empirical Analysis of Nonlinear Dynamic Macromodels. Contributions to Economic Analysis 277 (Series Editors: B. Baltagi, E. Sadka and D. Wildasin), Elsevier, Amsterdam, 2006. 7 -- 47.

16. Keynesian dynamics and the wage-price spiral. A baseline disequilibrium model. (with T. Asada, P. Chen, C. Chiarella). In: C. Chiarella, P. Flaschel, R. Franke and W. Semmler (Eds.): Quantitative and Empirical Analysis of Nonlinear Dynamic Macromodels. Contributions to Economic Analysis 277 (Series Editors: B. Baltagi, E. Sadka and D. Wildasin), Elsevier, Amsterdam, 2006, 173 -- 227.

17. Keynesian Macrodynamics and the Phillips Curve. An estimated baseline macro-model for the U.S. economy (with P. Chen, C. Chiarella, W. Semmler). In: C. Chiarella, P. Flaschel, R. Franke and W. Semmler (Eds.): Quantitative and Empirical Analysis of Nonlinear Dynamic Macromodels. Contributions to Economic Analysis 277 (Series Editors: B. Baltagi, E. Sadka and D. Wildasin), Elsevier, Amsterdam, 2006, 229 -- 284.

18. A Stochastic Model of the Real-Financial Interaction with Boundedly Rational Heterogenous Agents (with C. Chiarella, T. He, H. Hung). In: C. Chiarella, P. Flaschel, R. Franke and W. Semmler (Eds.): Quantitative and Empirical Analysis of Nonlinear Dynamic Macromodels. Contributions to Economic Analysis 277 (Series Editors: B. Baltagi, E. Sadka and D. Wildasin), Elsevier, Amsterdam, 2006, 333 -- 358.

19. A High-Dimensional Model of Real-Financial Market Interaction: The Cascade of Stable Matrices Approach (with C. Chiarella, R. Franke and W. Semmler). In: C. Chiarella, P. Flaschel, R. Franke and W. Semmler (Eds.): Quantitative and Empirical Analysis of Nonlinear Dynamic Macromodels. Contributions to Economic Analysis 277 (Series Editors: B. Baltagi, E. Sadka and D. Wildasin), Elsevier, Amsterdam, 2006, 359 -- 384.

20. Currency Crisis, Financial Crisis and Large Output Loss (with W. Semmler). In: C. Chiarella, P. Flaschel, R. Franke and W. Semmler (Eds.): Quantitative and Empirical Analysis of Nonlinear Dynamic Macromodels. Contributions to Economic Analysis 277 (Series Editors: B. Baltagi, E. Sadka and D. Wildasin), Elsevier, Amsterdam, 2006, 385 -- 414.

21. Prosperity and Stagnation in Capitalist Economies (with T. Asada, P. Skott). In: C. Chiarella, P. Flaschel, R. Franke and W. Semmler (Eds.): Quantitative and Empirical Analysis of Nonlinear Dynamic Macromodels. Contributions to Economic Analysis 277 (Series Editors: B. Baltagi, E. Sadka and D. Wildasin), Elsevier, Amsterdam, 2006, 413 -- 448.

22. Instability Problems and Policy Issues in Perfectly Open Economies. In: T. Asada and T. Ishikawa (Eds.): The Economics of Time and Space. Tokyo: Springer, 2006, 99 - 128.

23. Kaleckian investment and employment cycles in postwar industrialized economies (with R. Franke and W. Semmler). In: P. Flaschel and M. Landesmann (Eds.): Mathematical Economics and the Dynamics of Capitalism. London: Routledge, forthcoming.

24. The Classical growth cycle after fifteen years of new observations (with G. Groh, G. Kauermann and T. Teuber). In: P. Flaschel and M. Landesmann (Eds.): Mathematical Economics and the Dynamics of Capitalism. London: Routledge, forthcoming.

25. Interacting goods and labor market dynamics: Elaboration of an econometric baseline estimation (with R. Franke, C. Proano). In: P. Flaschel and M. Landesmann (Eds.): Mathematical Economics and the Dynamics of Capitalism. London: Routledge, forthcoming.

26. Varieties of capitalism. The flexicurity model (with A. Greiner, E. Nell and S. Luchtenberg). In: P. Flaschel and M. Landesmann (Eds.): Mathematical Economics and the Dynamics of Capitalism. London: Routledge, forthcoming.

27. Introduction (with M. Landesmann). In: P. Flaschel and M. Landesmann (Eds.): Mathematical Economics and the Dynamics of Capitalism. London: Routledge, forthcoming.

28. AS-AD Disequilibrium Dynamics and the Taylor Interest Rate Policy Rule: Euro-Area Based Estimation and Simulation, In: P. Arestis, E. Hein and E. Le Heron (Eds.): Monetary Policies. Modern Approaches. New York: Macmillan, forthcoming

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